With a win by the favoured Golden Bears
We present 2 possibilities for play-off seeding, with just the 1 game remaining in regular season play. The first, shown below, has the Bears winning tonight’s home game / Senior Night vs Lethbridge. You see the results, as calculated using the Rating Percentage Index to order the 12 playoff teams. (Mt. Royal was tied in Won -Loss with Thompson Rivers, but lose in a tie-breaker. TRU won a game over Manitoba, while MRU had 2 close losses). The Cougars and Wolf-Pack did not meet in the regular season.
The RPI re-shuffles the standings based on the relative strength of schedules. Teams play very different slates of games, and this is a ‘common’ way of recognizing the inequity of various schedules. (As confusing and frustrating as it might be for some teams and fans).
- UBC is 19-1, but their schedule was among the ‘softest’ when the stats are in. So the T-Birds drop to the 4 seed
- Alberta’s schedule is among the toughest, and they get a boost, with a 15-5 record, up to the #1 seed.
- You’ll also note the 11-9 Fraser Valley Cascades, are 10th seed, while the 8-12 TRU Wolf-Pack are 9, and Brandon, at 9-11 finish way up in 7th. (RPI folks !)
But, what if, for some reason, Lethbridge wins vs Alberta tonight ?
Then, we have some changes, and not only at the top. We still have the same 12 play-off teams, but with some re-shuffling with RPI tweaks for every team.
- Calgary jumps over Alberta to the #1 seed, and the Bears drop to #3, with Saskatchewan bumping up to #4.
- Winnipeg moves into the #7 position, and Brandon to #8.
All this means that we get some different play-off match-ups in some cases. It also means that the Dinos have the inside -track to hosting the Final 4, assuming they can win a quarter-final series. Here’s the new play-off grid, if the ‘Horns knock off the Bears in tonight’s final League contest. (*** Note – Lethbridge will be the #6 seed, regardless of tonights result).
There’s all sorts of intrigue with these possible match-ups, and the site for the Final 4 can, of course, be crucial to the outcome.