Fear of the RPI

 

Manitoba is #1 Seed ?!     …     Blame the RPI

 

If the play-offs were decided today …

Of course, we can’t do this, with some teams having only 8 games completed, and some with 10, with many more left to play. What we do see are 3 teams which are separating themselves from ‘the masses’. Alberta, UBC, and Calgary are looking like the 3 likely top seeds come late February.  But wait !  If they are at the top of the standings after the 20 game schedule is in the books, are they the top 3 seeds for play-offs?

Not necessarily.  With this ‘imbalanced’ 17 team League, with big differences in schedules, it was decided that a ‘balancing effect’ was needed to seed the 12 play-off qualifiers on the basis of the quality of their opposition.  We present the RPI.  A measure combining each team’s winning % (1/4), the winning %s of their 10 opponents (1/2), and the winning %s of the opponents of those opponents (1/4).

We have the current RPI ratings ( provided by our  cis hoops  stats guru, Martin Timmerman.)  Open the above link, and you get a more complete look at the RPI rating system.    Today  we would get  1. Manitoba, 2.Alberta, 3. Calgary, 4.UBC  in the bye spots.  Then,     5. TRU, 6. Winnipeg, 7. Lethbridge, 8.Saskatchewan, 9. UNBC, 10. Mt. Royal, 11. Regina, and 12. Fraser Valley.

“The top 12 teams based on winning percentage will earn post-season berths, with playoff ranking based on each team’s Rating Percentage Index (RPI) from the regular season. RPI will be used in order to account for the various strengths of schedule.”  (So say the League ‘regs’) “The top four teams based on RPI will receive a bye in the first week of the playoffs.”

screen-shot-2016-09-12-at-9-01-42-am-copy

Bisons tough schedule boosts their RPI

The startling ‘Manitoba Effect’, due to the winning records of their very strong opponents in the 1st semester, will largely balance itself off in the upcoming 2nd half.  But there will, undoubtedly, be some consternation when the RPI re-shuffles play-off positions. A ‘top 4 team’ losing out on a 1st round bye would be pleading injustice.

But this is what you get when you adopt an ‘All-17 team League’.  Schools had options to break into 2 Divisions, but voted for the 17 .  Ergo … the whimsical effect of the RPI.


 

Overtime –

nipissing

  • From the OUA, we note the rise of one of their newest school’s, Nipissing Lakers, whose weekend road sweep at Waterloo and Laurier brought them to 3-5 in league play.  Here is the story from canhoops.ca and ‘Junkie’, Mark Wacyck, Ottawa-based ‘super-blogger’.
  • Fraser Valley Coach Adam Friesen, after the Cascades’ road win Saturday at Brandon, “We’ve been struggling, and the guys, to their credit, have really worked, stuck together, kept grinding and figured out a way to have some success,” Friesen said. “I’m glad they were able to get a win heading into the Christmas break.”  From Dan Kinvig, UFV Athletics.

Calgary Cages the Cougars

 

Final Day at the CBU Fall Classic, Sydney, NS –  

Dinos grab win behind the 23 pt. output by guard, Jhony Verrone.

Dinos grab win behind the 23 pt. output by guard, Jhony Verrone. – photo- David Moll, UC

Consolation side –  Calgary 100 Regina 88  – A 56 point 2nd half put the Dinos in the passing lane, as they shoot 50% FG, and score 26/33 from the line vs 11/21 for the Cougars. Jhony Verrone has a stellar game for Calgary, with 23 points/ 3 asst/ 3 reb, and Thomas Cooper adds 20 pts/6 rebs.  Matt Ellis is 15 pts/6 boards off the bench, and is a perfect 5/5 from the floor, and the same from the line.  Regina has 4 players in double figures, with Alex Igual cashing 24/ 5 boards/ 3 asst.   Box Score 

Acadia 69 Cape Breton 57 – Cold shooting hands both ways … Capers are 0-3 on home court this week; Meshack Lufile deserves more help, as he is one of the real warriors in the CIS .  Box Score 

Mustangs capture the Capers Fall Classic title.

Mustangs capture the Capers Fall Classic title with a solid win over Panthers.

The Final –   Western 95 UPEI 83 – Western is playing like a Top 10 (Top 5?) team, with  Greg Morrow filling it up in the paint with 32 pts/ 7 rebounds, plus 9 big assists. Judson Tavernier shoots from outside as well as anyone we’ve seen this season … 7/12 tonight, and 25 pts/7 rebs/ 4 assists. The Mustangs are an exceptional passing team … 32 assists in this game. The Panthers get 24 pts from Tyler Scott, and 19 pts/13 rebounds from Dut-Dut. Box Score

for 3rd,  St. FX 94 Nipissing 81- 20 pts each from Julius Antoine and Kevin Bercy, as X shoots 52% from the floor. Box Score  


In Ontario –      Victoria 71 at Guelph 65  –  the Vikes get a road win against the Gryphons  as Jordan Charles (3rd year, W) scores 19, Grant Sitton 15, and Mack Roth 14. Ahmed Haroon hits for 23 pts for Guelph. Box Score

At the  Golden Bear Invitational , Edmonton    –

Lethbridge  83  UNBC  56 – Import guard, Dejon Burdeaux sparks the UL attack with 23 pts on 8/9 FG shooting and adds 5 steals, while Brandon Brine scores 15.  (This box score is a bit goofy)  UNBC gets 19 from Elliot Rowe and 17 by Colin Plumb. Box Score

Queen’s 74 Alberta 68 – Better shooting by the Gaels  and a few costly turnovers by Alberta, as they take a home loss. Mamadou Gueye scores 22, but no one else hits double figures for the Bears.  Queen’s has Sukhpreet Sing leading with 20 points, and Tanner Graham scores 18 and has 5 steals  Box Score


 

The Lea Marc Printing Tourn. – U. Winnipeg –Unknown-2

 Fraser Valley 72  Manitoba 67 –  Vijay Dhillon scores 19 points, as the Cascades sweep the Winnipeg event.  (write-up by Dan Kinvig, UFV)  no Box Score

Winnipeg  73  Brandon  61–  Winnipeg gets the win as Jelane Pryce records a double of 24 pts/10 rebs. Ryan Oirbans claims 14 big boards for the Ws. Brandon has 13 pts from D.J. Jordan.  Box Score


More CIS Scores – Seattle Mountaineers 92 UBC 89 –  Conor Morgan scores 28 pts for UBC, Bishop’s 79 Laurentian 77, St. Mary’s 91 Laurier 87, Brock  92 Ryerson 83, UQAM 75 Waterloo 58, Windsor 84 Concordia 65, Lakehead 72 York 71, Toronto 76 Algoma 65


 

 

Overtime – 

  • Dejon Burdeaux is making an impact for Lethbridge; witness the elusive box score from Fridays ‘Horns-Gaels OT game we get from David Wells, our agent in ‘The South’. ‘The ‘Mustard Man’ (Dejon – Dijon … oh, never mind) drops 30 points, including 18/20 free throws. He touches the ball often, and he takes it to the defense.  We also admire Brandon Brine’s 23 pt/13 rebs. double.
  •   Alberta Coach Craddock has a good look at his whole den of Bears in a pasting of the UNBC T’Wolves on Friday, with everyone getting good minutes, and all score … Mamadou Gueye score 19, and Brody Clark has an 11 pt/10 reb double.
  • UBC Coach, Kevin Hanson, after his ‘Birds fell just short to Seattle on Saturday, “We didn’t play very good basketball, we didn’t run our systems very well, and we’ve got to go back to the drawing board,” said Hanson. “We need to play the way we practice – we practice with so much intensity, but for whatever reason, we were a bit tight today, with the first game on the home court here. It’s the first time that half of our guys have even played on this floor. Good experience though, it’s part of growth and part of what the season’s all about.” (From Aaron Martin, Sports Information Assistant, UBC)

Rough Night for Canada West

xxx and the CBU Capers lose their round 1 game to the Western Mustangs.

Meshack Lufile and the CBU Capers lose their round 1 game to the Western Mustangs.            photo – CBU Athletics

 

X-Men Feed on Dinos’ Last- Second Turnovers 

St. FX 86  Calgary 84 – A pair of late turnovers doom the Dinos, as Tyrell Edwards hits the winner with 3 seconds left for the X-Men.  X were up  35-21 after an 18-0 run to end the 1st and start the 2nd quarter,  but Thomas Cooper provides an offensive boost when he gets back in the game, while  Mitch Ligertwood, and Matt Ellis are consistently getting to the ball on the boards.  Lars Schleuter finds his scoring touch, and Calgary storms back for a 44-44 tie at the half. It was back and forth in the final 20 minutes, but a series of inside misses prevented Calgary from pulling away. Cooper was the game-high scorer with 22, Schleuter has 15, and Ellis doubled with 11 pts/10 boards/ 3 blocks.  Edwards scored 21 for St. FX, who will play Western in the evening semi-finals, while Calgary goes to the consolation side against CBU on Friday at 3 pm Atlantic. Box Score

UPEI 84  Regina 79 – the Cougars fall just short, and might blame it on some loose play in the middle frames, where they are blasted 58-39 by the mercurial Panthers.  4 players in double figures for PEI, topped by 20 from Tyler Scott, and Dut Dut grabs 13 boards to go with 13 points. 30 points from Jonathan Tull for U of R, but the scoring isn’t there from his mates; Regina shoots just 35%. PEI shoots 22/26 from the line to only 12/14 for Regina.  On Friday the Panthers play in one semi-final against Nipissing, while Regina meets Acadia in a consolation game at 1 pm Atlantic. Box Score

Nipissing 94  Acadia  85Box Score        Western 71  Cape Breton 62 –   Box Score

+ Games in the CBU Tournament are televised on  AUS TV


 

Brock's xxx goes by the Vikes' bbb in the Badgers Thursday win.

Brock’s Matt Marshall goes by the Vikes’ Mack Roth in the Badgers Thursday win.           Photo – Brock  Athletics

In Ontario –   at Brock  99  Victoria   69 – To continue a rough Thursday evening for Canada West … the Badgers trounce the Vikes, who turn it over 25 times, and lose every quarter. 14 for Grant Sitton of UVic, but Brock get 32 from Dani Elgadi and 3 more in double figures. Box Score

In Edmonton Thursday – Lethbridge 85  MacEwan 67  – Brandon Brine scores 19 / 7 rebs and Dejon Burdeaux 22 pts for the ‘Horns. 14 points each for Keith Gerdes and Thomas Jereniuk of the Griffs.

Box Score


 

Screen Shot 2015-10-22 at 9.33.28 AMThe Alberta Golden Bears are hosting the Golden Bear Invitational  – on Friday and Saturday- (with a modified 4-team draw).  Queen’s from the OUA join UNBC, Lethbridge and the hosts.  Lethbridge will be without shooting guard, Rob Olsen, who is away doing an interview for Dentistry School, and they still have the injury bug, so may be missing a couple of big men as well.

 

 

Overtime – 

  • Not sure why Alex Igual, Regina’s point man, played limited minutes (16) vs UPEI , but UFV transfer Aaron McGowan came in and did a good job at that spot in the Spaniard’s absence.