What just happened ?
UBC wins big 2 nights running, and are 17-1 … their RPI index, however, falls from .6450 to .6172. Tragique !
Saskatchewan and Alberta split their big series, and they both drop slightly. Calgary wins 2 on the road against a pretty good TRU team, and the Dinos tumble to 4th spot, as the RPI dips by 72 points. Ugh !
Manitoba loses both games at Brandon, but remains (forever, apparently) in 5th. Winnipeg wins 2 at home, and go to 6th, up 62 points. Nice ! Lethbridge was just sitting around , watching the heavy snowfall, and go up a few points, and into 7th.
Brandon made the biggest news, in many ways. Coach Gil Cheung and his boys come from 3-7 at the Christmas break, to win 6 games and grab a play-off spot at 9-11. This includes a group of 10 players back from a team that went 1-19 in the previous season. Well-done, lads .
Fraser Valley got the sweep over UVic, and have vaulted themselves into the post-season, while putting the Vikes’ chances in jeopardy. Victoria comes home to play Winnipeg, and need 2 wins to guarantee a spot, and 1 to have any chance. MRU, Regina, Victoria, and MacEwan are all in dire need of at least that 1 win. Then the mathematicians take over.
What we think we know –
Thanks to Martin Timmerman’s U-Sports RPI ‘what-if’ tool for all of this ‘clarity’ in examining the possibilities. Alberta, Calgary, Saskatchewan, and UBC will be the top 4 seeds. But not necessarily in that order. The Huskies or Dinos could be #1, but Alberta has the inside track, especially if they sweep Lethbridge up in Edmonton this week. The (presumably) 19-1 UBC T’Birds will not be the top seed.
Manitoba will be the 5th seed. (Even losing 2 to MRU)
From here it gets ‘somewhat jumbled’, as each series is factored in. Lethbridge can be 6th – 8th, Winnipeg from 6th to 9th. Brandon are in, with 9 wins, and can be 7th to 9th.
Despite a strong possibility of finishing at 11-9, the UFV Cascades are likely to be 9-10-11-12, but they look to be a lock for the post-season.
That leaves Thompson Rivers (7th to out !) , Mt Royal, Regina, Victoria, and MacEwan hanging not only by the results of their own games, but of all the other series. A foreseeable scenario has 2 or more of these teams tied for the final play-off spot(s). If this is the case, we get the Canada West tie-breakers in play.
CW Tie-breaking rules – Two Teams Tied:
1. Win/Loss record in head to head competition.
2. Win/Loss record versus common opponents.
3. Each teams RPI ranking.
There are others, but the RPI should sort it out, if necessary.
Three or More Teams Tied: Use the same procedure as a two‐teams tied. Once one team has been separated from the tied group, go back to step one with the remaining tied team(s).
5 Top Performers from Last Weekend –
Manny Dulay’s 36 point night on Friday for UFV vs Victoria
Conor Morgan matches that on Friday for UBC vs UNBC
Brandon’s Earl Thompson Jr 40 pts/22 rebs and John Paul 30 pts/ 27 boards, as the ‘Cats take a pair from Manitoba
Thadius Galvez hits for 25 pts/ 8 rebs in Senior Night win over UBC-O
Jamar Farley also has a big Senior Night with 22 pts with 6 treys vs Regina
- Fraser Valley’s high scoring senior guard , Manny Dulay after the weekend’s wins over UVic, “Usually seniors would be like, ‘OK, it’s my night to shine,’ but I took the approach of, ‘I want to focus on the win,’” Dulay said. “I felt like I had to move the ball because I knew they were going to be extra-aggressive on me, and guys started stepping up – from Denver (Sparks-Guest) to Andrew (Morris) to Mark (Johnson) to Vijay (Dhillon). It was a whole different game from yesterday. Guys were ready to shoot, guys were ready to attack. It was amazing to see.” From Dan Kinvig, UFV Athletics
- With all the ‘foo-fa-rah’ about the final RPI seedings, we thought we’d point out that ‘everybody has problems’. A shout-out to our golf buddies who are renting places on Vancouver Island, so they can escape the winter and play a few rounds in January, February, and March. ‘What’s with the snow on our golf course !’ Talk about hard-ship !